blueollie

Getting caught up..workouts

Yes, I’ve still hit the gym:

Wednesday: 3 mile walk after weights: pull ups (5 sets of 10), bench: 10 x 135, 3 x 185, 10 x 135 incline, 5 x 170 decline, military: 10 x 50 standing, 10 x 45 standing, 10 x 90 machine, rows: 3 x 10 with 110, usual abs, etc.

Thursday: 192.0 before working out. 5 miles total in the morning: 3 mile run (10:55, 28:38 for 3 miles (17:43 for 2), 29:30 for 3.1, walk on the mill to 3.5, then 1.6 outside.

PM: 2 mile walk to Dozer.

Friday: weights: pull ups (5 sets of 10), bench: 10 x 135, 4 x 185 (ugly), 5 x 150 incline, 10 x 155 decline, military: 10 x 50 standing, 10 x 45 standing, 10 x 90 machine, rows: 3 x 10 with 110, usual abs, etc. Then 2 mile walk outside.

Yes, I am in taper mode and yes, I did watch some ball.

September 14, 2018 Posted by | running, walking, weight training | Leave a comment

Post I: college football and Peoria Chiefs baseball

Spectator sports has been a nice release from dwelling on stuff that I don’t like but really can’t change (social media, politics). I will talk about it some in a subsequent post though.

Peoria Chiefs Are in the finals! Game 1 and 2 are tomorrow and the day after tomorrow. The way this works in the Midwest League (low A): on even numbered years, the western champion hosts the first 2 games of the “best of 5”; it is just the opposite in even numbered years. The opponent: the Bowling Green Hot Rods.

I fear attendance won’t be great due to the fact that championship series are hard for fans to plan in advance and much of the draw for A league games is “outing” rather than baseball. And in the minor leagues: your playoff team will often not be your initial team. In Peoria’s case: the new players did struggle a bit at first..but there was a ton of talent. And now that talent is jelling so I like Peoria’s chances. But Bowling Green might be in a similar position (they are a Rays affiliate; Chiefs are a Cardinals affiliate).

In any event, these will be the last two games of a very fun season for me.

College Football I had a bad week of predictions last week:

Here is what I said:

Western Illinois at Illinois (spread: Illini by 8, ESPN: 73.8 % prob. for Illini)

WIU isn’t what they were last year and they are just off of a tough road loss. Illinois stinks and just lost their back up QB and best WR. And it could be played in heavy rain.

Nothing between a 3 point WIU win and an 11 point Illini win would surprise me. I’d go with: “similar to last week”; 27-20 Illini.

ND favored by 34.5 over Ball State. 99.1 % ND by ESPN. Why? ND could win 35-3 and not cover. Hard to tell. I’d say
“take ND and give the points” but maybe BSU gets a garbage time TD to cut the spread?

Memphis favored by 6.5 at Navy; ESPN 85.1 % for Memphis. Pains me to say it, but Navy’s defense is suspect. Mids will have to control the ball to keep it close. I am afraid that the Mids lose a shoot out like last week.

Texas favored by 23 over Tulsa: Texas 92% on ESPN. Tulsa beat an FCS program (a good one) by 11 last week; UT lost to a Big Ten team. I think that UT wins..but by how much? TU is better than San Jose State last year (who UT blew out).

Win: Illini, ND, Memphis, UT
Cover: WIU, ND, Memphis, Tulsa.

Last week: 3-1 vs. the spread, 2-2 straight up.

Ironic: the most competitive game of the 4 is..the Illinois vs. Western Illinois. Kind of sad..really.

So, how did I do? Straight up, I got 3 of 4 (Illini, ND, Texas). Spread: 1-3 (only Tulsa was right), though I was DELIGHTED to get the Navy game wrong. The Mids really came through.

So for the season:
Straight up: 5-3 (missed the Navy game both times, once in each direction, and the UT vs. MD game). Spread: 4-4 (which is what one would expect) I missed Navy twice, Illinois once, ND once.

I am really no better than a coin toss. 🙂

So what about this week? Yes, I am going to the Illinois vs. South Florida game in Chicago.

South Florida – 10 at Illinois (Chicago). This is a mismatch from the ESPN power index which gives USF a 65.7 percent chance. Last year: USF was a 16.5 point favorite and won 47-23, covering easily.
Personally, I think that Illinois MIGHT be getting too much credit, being a Big Ten team and USF being an AAC team (non-power 5, technically).

BUT, in their first game, USF cruised 34-14 over Elon (no. 12 in the FCS); they lead 31-0 midway through the 3’rd. So while Illinois also beat an FCS team 34-14, it was 24-14 going into the 4’th with Western Illinois driving. Illini scored on a punt block, set up a TD on an “almost pick 6” (to the 3) and another field goal via a fumble. USF vs. Elon: total yards were 515-234. In the Illinois vs. Western, it was 376-361.

The other game: USF beat a tough Georgia Tech team 49-38 whereas Illinois escaped a terrible Kent State team 31-24, with total yards being 469-453.

Even more worrisome is that USF’s receiving corps is outstanding and the Illini secondary is suspect.

I am excited about the game, but, objectively, well, 41-20 USF looks about right to me, UNLESS they are overconfident. And yes, way back in 2013, Illinois demolished a decent Cincinnati team 45-17 on its way to a 4-8 record. But that team had more offensive punch than this one and a more established quarterback.

So, I have to pick USF to win and cover.

Vanderbilt + 14.5 at ND: ESPN gives ND an 88.8 percent chance of winning. Both teams are 2-0 with ND beating Michigan 24-17 and stopping Ball State 24-16. Vanderbilt rolled over Middle Tennessee 35-7 (MTSU was a bowl team last year..Sun Belt) and Nevada 41-10 (they were bad last year). This might be hard; ND is a step up in competition for Vanderbilt and so ND should win. But Vanderbilt is an SEC team that might well be bowl bound..this game might be competitive.

I pick ND to win but Vanderbilt to cover the wide spread. They are NOT that bad.

Lehigh at Navy: (no line; Navy 96.8 percent) Leigh is a so-so FCS team who had a narrow win over a 5-6 FCS team (St. Francis) in the opener and was dominated by Villanova in their second game. Navy is coming off of an emotional win over Memphis but has too much talent for Lehigh, I think. I see a comfortable Navy win.

USC + 3.5 at Texas (ESPN: 55.9 percent for Texas) Texas lost at Maryland and beat Tulsa, narrowly. USC was dominated by Stanford 17-3 but beat UNLV easily (43-21). This is a big game at Texas with tickets being priced at over 80 dollars (per Vivid Seats). But how will that work; Texas has been very average against bad to so-so teams and USC did get dominated..by a team that is much better than Texas.

Ugh.toss up. Will pressure to beat an average team with a big name get to UT? I am really unsure.

Let’s say Texas wins by 4? But I wouldn’t bet a penny on this game, either way.

Note: this is BRUTAL.

Yes, TCU is a 13 point underdog and ESPN gives OSU an 86.6 percent chance. BUT…who knows…TCU might pull off the upset. I still remember the Iowa game and TCU is a lot better than Iowa.

My picks: straight up: USF, ND, Navy, Texas (very reluctantly). Cover: USF, Vanderbilt, (no line for Navy), Texas

Workout notes: yesterday, weights and a 2 mile run in 19:38 (5.2 for 3 minutes, upped it then at 10 minutes, 6.7 up to 7.0) weights: different order: pull ups (15-15-10-10), military (10 x 50, 10 x 50, 10 x 45 standing), bench: 2 sets of 10 x 70 dumbbell, incline: 9 x 135 (ran out of gas), decline: 5 x 165 (fatigued), rows: 3 sets of 10 x 110, plank: 2:30 (easy), boat, side plank, twist

today: 3 mile walk in 38:30; 5K in 39:40 prior to fasting blood work.

September 12, 2018 Posted by | baseball, college football, running, walking, weight training | , | 1 Comment

Who are the minor league baseball fans anyway? It depends on how you measure…

I’ve discussed this principle before, albeit in a different context (welfare). But I am about to do so again.

I went to the last Peoria Chiefs regular season home game and a couple who has season tickets showed up (ironically: they rarely come). I asked if they were going to the playoff game and they said “no”; in particular they said that they don’t like crowds.

I remarked that Chiefs playoff games are rarely crowded and that surprised them.

This was after the game started but well before the rain delay:

Though the threat of thunderstorms retarded attendance this time around, attendance wasn’t stellar in previous years either.

Regular season games, especially Friday/weekend games are usually much better attended. So what is going on?

I think that it is this way: during a given regular season game, most of those you see there will NOT be a hard core baseball fan. You’ll have some casual fans (“oh, I feel like a game today”), families or groups of friends looking for an outing (“hey, pretty day..let’s go to the ball park!”) along with church groups and workplace groups, youth teams, youth groups, etc. They are there “for the outing” and many who show up care little about the actual game.

Most of these..the bulk of the fans at any given r game, will not show up to a playoff game.

This doesn’t mean that the Chiefs do not care about the baseball fan though. After all, if you count ALL of the tickets sold for ALL of the games put together, I’d venture that most of these tickets are purchased by the baseball fans; the “faithful 1000” that either have season tickets, flexible vouchers (like I do) or those who just go to a lot of games. That is, I’d guess that most of the tickets sold come from a relatively small number of fans that go to a lot of games.

And it is this group that will constitute most of the playoff game crowd, I think.

And a note: the Chiefs swept their first playoff series against the Quad Cities River Bandits! They now move on to the semi-finals and will host game 2 of the “best of 3” series this Sunday; IF neither team sweeps the best of 3, the Chiefs host game 3 on Monday at 6:30 pm. The opponent is yet to be determined (Beloit? Cedar Rapids?). I am looking forward to 1 or 2 more games…and maybe more than that? (finals are best of 5).

Workout notes: I am still coughing but am feeling much better. I sound worse…feel better.

The run: after weights: 3 miles in 31:50 (32:54 for 5k) 10:47, 8:43 (19:30 for 2 miles) then walk/jog/run the final mile to cool down. 2.05 for 20 minutes.

weights: rotator cuff, pull ups (15-15-10-10 felt good), bench: 10 x 70 dumbbells, incline: 6 x 150, decline: 7 x 170. military: 10 x 50, 10 x 45, 10 x 45 standing, 3 sets of 10 x 110 machine rows, plank, twist crunch, side plank, boat, headstand.

Tomorrow: long walk of some sort; marathon 2 weeks away. I have 20’s under my belt..several actually, but do I risk draining myself or do I go more moderately (say, 4 hours..that is it?)

September 7, 2018 Posted by | baseball, illness, running, social/political, statistics, weight training | | 1 Comment

One of those days…

where it is difficult for me to stay awake. Not sure what the issue is. Cold is almost gone; still draining.

Socially: There is way too much truth here. All too many think that yelling at someone and calling them a xxx-st or accusing them of an “ism” or misogyny is going to somehow change things. It is almost as if “if I throw myself on the floor and scream enough…”

In some ways, we are *worse* than the right wing. We scrutinize everything hoping to find a reason to pounce…and end up looking like idiots.

Workout notes: 197.2 with shoes and clothes..this is 194.7 without (2.5 lb difference).

weights: pull ups (5 sets of 10..sleepy) rotator cuff, bench 10 x 135, 4 x 185 (struggled with rep 4 but got it), 7 x 170 (one rep off), 10 x 135 incline, 6 x 165 decline (got tired)

military 10 x 50, 2 sets of 10 x 45 standing, rows: 3 sets of 10 x 110 (ok, first was 125)

abs: plank, side plank, twist crunch, boat, headstand.

STILL sleepy…

2 miles: 5.2-5.6 then 6.7-7.1 for 19:38 (2.04 for 2 miles) and I felt awake for a while. Just dragging today.

September 5, 2018 Posted by | running, social/political, weight training | | Leave a comment

Parting thoughts on my college football kool aid drinking

I spent much of today finishing up a project and writing a report.

I did work out though: weights and a 4 mile walk. Cold is better..almost well: weights: 5 sets of 10 pull ups, rotator cuff, bench: 10 x 135, 3 x 185, 5 x 170, incline: 10 x 135, military: 2 sets of 10 x 45 dumbbell, 10 x 180 machine, rows: 3 sets of 10 x 110. plank, (2:30), side, twist crunch, then a warm 4 mile walk outside.

I got to think too. Yes, two of my favorite teams wear orange (Texas, Illinois), two wear blue and gold (Navy, ND) and one wears blue (Illinois); I suppose I’ll have to add Illinois State to the mix as I’ll probably make a couple of their games this year. I’ve got tickets to the Western Illinois game and will probably get them for South Dakota State.

I talked about Illinois’ escape against Kent State. I keep hearing “well, Illinois is young”. Well, so is Kent State. So, unless Kent is drastically underrated…ugh.

Navy: got soundly whipped by Hawaii 59-41. It is hard to believe that you can score 41 and still get blown out. I know that Hawaii can be a tough place to play. But ..Hawaii is 2-0 with a road win so…maybe they are underrated?
Still, getting to 6 wins will be tough for Navy this year.

Notre Dame beat Michigan 24-17, but from what I saw, the game itself was somewhat more one sided than that. ND lead 21-3 and, aside from giving up a touchdown return off of a Kickoff, seemed to be in control.

Why Michigan, who finished FOURTH in the east DIVISION of the Big Ten got so much love from the pollsters is beyond me. They were 8-5 last year! I honestly think that there are 5 Big Ten teams better than they are.
ND: ah, good…but not top 5 material..perhaps not top 10. Second 10 though…

Texas: got beat by Maryland..again. Why they were a 13 point favorite is beyond me. Look at the past 5 years: the only Big Ten teams to do worse: Illinois, Rutgers, Purdue and, yes, Maryland. Still…I don’t get it. Maryland will play several teams that are much better than Texas in conference action.

Ah..and who are the most overrated teams (early in the season, anyway)?

A handy chart shows that Notre Dame and Texas belong to the first group of 5 (70 percent of the time: underperforming their early ranking), Michigan belongs to the 3’rd group.

For the season: 2-2 Straight up (picked Navy and Texas to win), 3-1 vs. the spread (missed on Navy..picked Kent, Maryland and ND to cover).

September 3, 2018 Posted by | college football, football, illness, walking, weight training | Leave a comment

Who I respect and dealing with minor discomfort

I respect those who can act cheerfully and act with courtesy toward others when they are feeling bad themselves.

I know that even minor discomfort puts me in a grouchy mood; the pain or the hassle does not have to be that great.

Currently: I have a cold and am putting up with minor inconveniences at work and at home.

And this is me:

Workout notes: weights only; it was enough to get me very sweaty.

pull ups (5 sets of 10; went fine), rotator cuff, bench: dumbbell: 10 x 70, 10 x 75, incline: 10 x 135. rows: 3 sets of 10 x 110. Military: 3 sets of 10 x 45 dumbbell.
plank (usual 2:30…sweated buckets but it was ok), side plank, boat, twist crunch.

I did sleep longer than normal.

August 31, 2018 Posted by | illness, weight training, whining | Leave a comment

Do we have an obligation to socialize with the unlikable?

Holidays: ok, if you know that someone doesn’t like you, are you still offended if they don’t show up to the family function? If so, why? If you knew that they didn’t like you, would you want to stay at their house or socialize with them?

Do you have an obligation to like someone else (family or not, or in-law?) Are you a bad person for not liking someone?

I think that these answers are not always that clear. And as to what makes someone “likable”…it isn’t always what we might be tempted to say on a survey, is it? Much of it has to do with..yes, physical attractiveness, health, wealth (enough to do stuff), etc. though I supposed we’d swear up and down that this isn’t true.

But it is my *guess* that we can look at someone’s photo and determine how easy it is for that individual to find people to socialize with (on the average; there will always be a few “exceptions to the general rule”).

Workout notes: weights, 4 mile walk in 54:40 (28:00, 26:40); increased the speed from 3.6 to 4.5 mph at an incline of 0.5 (15 min. first mile) then did 1-0-2-0-3-0-4-0 then 1 mile at 5.0, then a pyramid of sorts again.

weights: pull ups 15-15-10-10, (good), military (10 x 50 standing, 10 x 45, standing, 10 x 140 Hammer), rows: 2 sets of 10 x 70 dumbbell (that hurt), 10 x 110. Bench: 10 x 70 dumbbell, inline: 10 x 140, decline: 7 x 170.
abs (usual: 2:30 plank, boat, side plank, leg lifts, twist crunch).

Note: scratchy throat; burning nose; came on this afternoon…with sneezing at times. Allergies or cold coming on?

August 30, 2018 Posted by | Friends, social/political, walking, weight training | Leave a comment

tired

Weights only: pull ups (5 sets of 10), bench: 10 x 135, 4 x 185, incline: 7 x 150, decline: 7 x 170, rows: 3 sets of 10 x 110, military (dumbbell), 10 x 50, 10 x 45, 10 x 45, plank, twist crunch, boat, side plank, leg lifts, headstand.

It was fine. I need more sleep.

August 28, 2018 Posted by | weight training | Leave a comment

Argument by outlier ..

In academia: one issue is the utility of college entrance exam scores. Some try to claim that they have no predictive value; that is false, at least for freshman calculus. Some try to say “measure X is better…forgetting that often several factors, measured together, predict better than any solitary measure.

But most often I’ll hear “argument by outlier”, meaning that someone had a low score but ended up doing ok.

I have no doubt that this happens; we are talking about a predictive measure.

Think of it this way: consider college football; FBS (more big time football) and FCS (smaller time football). Not it is true: SOME NFL players played for an FCS team. Clearly, there are some FCS players who are better than almost all FBS players.

But when the teams play: the FBS team wins over 80 percent of the time; some seasons, more often than that. The reason is clear: on the whole, FBS players are better than FCS players, WITH A FEW EXCEPTIONS.

A similar thing holds for college board scores. In general, calculus class consisting of kids with math ACT’s of 30 or above will do better than one where the kids all have 22-24 , though there will be a few 30’s who bomb and a few 24’s who shine.

Workout note: weights then a routine 2 mile walk on the treadmill: 14:55 then 13:55 on a hill program. weights: usual pt; pull ups: 15-15-10-10, bench: 10 x 135, 4 x 185, 8 x 170, incline: 10 x 135, military: 10 x 50, 10 x 45, 10 x 45, rows: 2 sets of 10 x 110 machine, 10 x 50 dumbbell, usual abs (2:30 plank). The weight program took about 40 minutes.

I am getting used to my academic routine again.

August 25, 2018 Posted by | education, walking, weight training | Leave a comment

Onward to Fall, 2018

I spent much of my time getting my stuff ready for Fall 2018. I’ll have to spend more time tomorrow..and then review my paper again. Summer is all but over. 🙂

I was sore and stiff from this weekend’s walking so I just lifted; usual PT
pull ups (5 sets of 10)
bench: 10 x 135, 4 x 185, dumbbell: 10 x 70
incline: 10 x 135
decline: 10 x 165
military: 10 x 50 dumbbell, 8 x 50 dumbbell (standing), 10 x 45 dumbbell
rows: 3 sets of 10 x 110 machine

plank, twist, headstand, more back stuff.

August 13, 2018 Posted by | Personal Issues, weight training | Leave a comment