blueollie

One key factor in the Presidential Election

Workout notes: 6+ mile walk in West Peoria. Lovely walking weather; nice and cool.

Election

presowithhillary

Presidential elections with no incumbent (my lifetime)

1960: Kennedy vs. Nixon: Kennedy won by less than 1 point; the parties switched.
1968: Humphrey vs. Nixon (and Wallace): Nixon won by less than 1 point; the parties switched.
1988: Bush vs. Dukakis: Bush won by just under 8 points; the party retained power
2000: Bush vs. Gore: Gore won the popular vote by less than 1 percent but Bush won the EC and the parties switched
2008: McCain vs. Obama: Obama won by about 7.5 points and the parties switched.

I can remember the 2000 election where the Gore campaign kept Clinton at arm’s length, and the 2008 where Bush all but disappeared; the R’s did not want him around.

From the Gallup Presidential Approval Center:

bobamaapprovalvsotherssep28

This really helps Hillary Clinton. I think that this will be one “ace in the hole”.

September 28, 2016 Posted by | 2008 Election, political/social, politics, politics/social, walking | | Leave a comment

One good thing about a marathon failure…

Two days later and I felt good enough to have a good workout. So I do have a few training days before starting taper no. 2.

Workout notes:

Weights: I got 200 lbs. in the bench press (bodyweight: 189 after the treadmill run). Yeah, my lifetime PB is 310 (at 230 lbs bodyweight).

rotator cuff
pull ups: 15-15-10-10 (strong)
free squats (good)
bench press: 10 x 135, 1 x 185, 1 x 195, 1 x 200, 7 x 170
incline press: 10 x 135
military press (dumbbells) 7 x 50 standing, 15 x 50 (seated, supported), 10 x 40 standing
rows: 3 sets of 10 x 50 dumbbell
headstand

treadmill run (felt good) 3.13 miles in 30 minutes; 5.2, 5.3 (5 minutes each), 10 minutes at 6.7, 5 at 6.8, 6.9, .25 at 7.0, .13 at 7.1 (11:06, 20:03, 28:48),
5K walk outside (easy)

That was a nice workout.

September 27, 2016 Posted by | running, walking, weight training | | Leave a comment

Marathons: my margin of error is gone

Workout notes: 30 minutes on the elliptical. I still have a residual headache….slight.

Hot weather marathons: I’ve had some trouble in similar conditions before. In 1998 (runner), I hit mile 20 in 2:50 and took 1:05 to finish the final 6.2. In 2000, at Lake Okoboji, I hit mile 20 in 2:50 and took 1:35 to finish the final 6.2; in fact the final 3 miles took just over an hour.

In 2007, I DNF’ed Quad Cities at mile 23. In 2008, I took 6:16 to walk the Andy Payne Marathon (spent 1 hour at an aid station). In 2012, I walked a walker’s marathon in just under 7 hours, resting 1 hour at the mile 23 aid station.

And now I have another DNF (mile 20).

The difference: the walker’s marathon had a looooong time limit. The other cases: I was faster; I wasn’t out in the heat as long and I had more time to finish once I blew up.

And so it goes. I am no longer fast enough to finish a typical road marathon except under favorable circumstances (cool day). So I need to choose my races carefully (long time limits, 12 hour events, predictably cool weather events that offer a half marathon option, etc.)

September 26, 2016 Posted by | marathons, running, walking | Leave a comment

Biding time…

Warm and humid conditions expected this Sunday. Bleah.

Workout notes: mini weights: rotator cuff, a few squats, (weightless), 15-(10-5) pull ups (second set: 10, then quickly change grip and get 5 more),
incline press: 10 x 135, 8 x 150, military: 15 x 50 (seated, supported), 10 x 40, rows: 2 sets of 10 x 50 dumbbell, 1 round of 12 twist crunch, 10 yoga leg lifts, 10 moving bridges, headstand.
2 mile walk (BU loop, Bradley Ave., Moss, Cooper).

Just enough to take the edge off; I thought about some math while walking.

September 23, 2016 Posted by | walking, weight training | Leave a comment

Trump can win this election. But right now Clinton is winning.

Workout notes: 4 mile walk; easy. Cool weather; sure hope we have that on Sunday, but it does NOT look promising.

Election:

As it sits right now: the Electoral College map (via Electoral Vote.com)
trumpelectoralvote

The national polls: (via Pollster)

trumpgeneralelection

The bookies:

trumpodds

Trump’s paths to victory: he has less than half as many paths that Clinton does (via Upshot)

trumppathstowin

Sam Wang’s analysis (Princeton)

trumpprinceton

So it goes. To me, this is looking more and more like 2000 and 2004 (with Clinton being in the position that Bush was in) rather than 2008 and 2012…in the latter cases I was very confident that Obama would win.

I am not so confident this time around. I am not ready to call this a toss-up; Clinton does have the edge. But that edge could evaporate. It is far from being a comfortable lead.

Why I still have hope: though Hillary Clinton is NOT the campaigner that Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were, she isn’t as bad as Al Gore. And like him or hate him, George W. Bush was a good campaigner. Donald Trump isn’t the campaigner that he was, not at least as far as the “middle of the country” goes.

September 22, 2016 Posted by | 2008 Election, 2012 election, political/social, politics, politics/social, walking | | Leave a comment

getting there…

Workout notes: 3 miles on the treadmill after a mini weight workout.

Weights: 2/3 of a usual workout. rotator cuff, weightless squats, pull ups (3 sets of 10), bench: 10 x 135, 4 x 185, incline: 7 x 150, 10 x 135. Military: seated, supported, 15 x 50, standing 10 x 45. Rows: 10 x 50 dumbbell, 10 x 110 machine. 1 set of : 12 twist crunch, 10 yoga leg lifts, 10 moving half bridge. Then I did some headstand.

That followed by 2 miles of running on the treadmill in 21:30, 1 mile of walking which got me to 3 in 36:08. The legs ARE feeling fresher, though the forecast for Moline this weekend is warmer than I’d like.

News of the weird:

trumpandme

This might not be as strange as it might appear as I did get on Rick Santorum’s list once, and once I voted in the Republican primary.

Memories:

stretchitout

Yes, I chuckled when I saw this posting.

But it brought back a memory that is now, perhaps 15 years old or longer. I went to the Franciscan Center (West Peoria) to pick up a packet for the Jamboree 4 mile race. There was a nice looking middle aged lady who was wearing form fitting, sort-of thin white pants. Somehow the discussion of stretching came up and she said: “is that stretch like this” and proceeded to bend over and fold herself in half. She gave me that “am I doing this right?” look.

I did my best to not smile “too much” and said something like “very nice…that looks right” when I should have said “ok, could you show me again?”. Ah, good times.

September 21, 2016 Posted by | butt, running, walking, weight training | , | Leave a comment

TMI (taper stuff)

Yesterday: 2 mile run in just under 21 minutes, easy walk outside. Today: 3 mile walk (untimed); last night I had lower GI issues. I am on pink bismuth…better now than later in the week.

The clock is ticking and fortunately I have grading to keep me occupied.

September 20, 2016 Posted by | running, walking | Leave a comment

Lesson learned…over and over again (sports)

Workout notes: I was up at 4:30 am??? Well, I went ahead and got to the gym (Riverplex) and lifted.

Pull ups (5 sets of 10, good), rotator cuff, lots of goblet squats.
bench press: 10 x 135, 4 x 185
incline press: 7 x 150, 10 x 135
military presses: 2 sets of 10 x 45 dumbbell (standing), 10 x 40 standing
rows: 3 sets of 10 x 60 single arm.
head stand (ok), 2 sets of each of 12 twist crunch, 10 yoga leg lifts, 10 moving half bridge.

Then I walked 5 miles: back of Riverplex, to the goose loop, around and to the start of Springdale and back. Note: on the way back, I decided to take the sidewalk because there were runners behind me and I wanted to give them the bike lane. they took the sidewalk…hey..some cute spandex so I was ok.

Sports: I remember back in 1997-1998 when Bradley Basketball beat nationally ranked Michigan at home.

“The Team that Beat Michigan”, they said. But then:

2-08-1997 MICHIGAN W 63-58 10741 Peoria, Ill. WEEK
12-21-1997 at Western Illinois L 50-56 3849 Macomb, Ill.
12-28-1997 at Evansville L 57-59 8105 Evansville, Ind. ESPN
*01-03-1998 INDIANA STATE L 61-65 ot 9716 Peoria, Ill.

None of those teams were nationally ranked. Moral: one good win doesn’t not a good team make.

This Saturday, Illinois State football found that out. They beat Northwestern a week ago this past Saturday, in Evanston. But yesterday: the fell behind and lost to Eastern Illinois at home.

September 18, 2016 Posted by | college football, walking, weight training | , | Leave a comment

I have more respect for Sarah Palin than I do for Donald Trump (sort of)

Workout notes: easy 5.2 mile walk (two loops of Lower Bradley Park); it was untimed. I saw no other runners or walkers out there, which is unusual, given how good the day was.

Post I was getting “tag teamed” by two of my favorite grannies on Facebook (I have friends who love to roast me) and one said that it was like “Obama and Biden ganging up on Trump”. The other said “more like Palin instead of Trump”.

That (good natured?) insult got me to thinking…and, at least in a way, I have more respect for Sarah Palin than I do for Donald Trump.

Seriously.

Yes, Trump has some business savvy; after all, he did manage to make money off of bankruptcy laws and to stick other investors with the bills. Mean: yes, but savvy. And I doubt that Palin is that bright.

But, Trump was born into money and started with a lot of it, and had he merely invested what he had in safe investments, he’d have roughly the amount of wealth he has now.

On the other hand, Sarah Palin was not born wealthy. She was born into a middle class family and got herself elected to office, first to citywide office and later to the governorship. She did this without any inbuilt family connections; this was her under her own steam.

True: we now know about of her because of Senator McCain’s gamble but she got herself into that position to begin with, and I have to respect that.

September 15, 2016 Posted by | Friends, politics, politics/social, walking | , | Leave a comment

Snap, crackle, pop…

At times my body sounds like Rice Krispies ….

Weights: rotator cuff, lots of goblet squats (with and without weights), pull ups (5 sets of 10)
incline bench: 10 x 135, 8 x 150, 10 x 140
military: 6 x 50 standing, 15 x 50 seated, supported, 10 x 40 standing
rows: 3 sets of 10 x 50 each arm
headstand (easy), 2 sets of: 12 twist crunch, 10 yoga leg lifts 10 moving half-bridges

Then a 5K walk outside.

Taking it easy, doing admin stuff, and laughing at Trump supporters and others who were just so offended by the “basket of deplorables” comment that Hillary Clinton made…oh…and that she got sick. (really)

Sure, Hillary’s concern for privacy deludes people into thinking that she has something to hide. Well, if she does, the thousands who are investigating her must be incompetent idiots.

September 14, 2016 Posted by | politics, politics/social, walking, weight training | , | Leave a comment