# blueollie

## Slow progress..

Weight: 195.4 before running. 4 miles on the treadmill, 2 mile walk outside, then work on my paper.
run: 10 minute warm up (5.2, 5.3), 20 minutes: 6.7 for 10, 6.8 for 5, 6.9 for 5 more getting to mile 3 in 28:47 and 3.11 in 29:45, walk for 1-2 minutes then run again to get to mile 4 in 39:38. Then 2 miles of walking outside.

Total miles: remarkably similar to last week (a few seconds faster) though today I felt good, even after the harder 20 minute segment.

Question: Trump tweeted an article about wage gains…which also pointed out that they were all but wiped out by inflation. Huh?

July 31, 2018

## Getting the formula right…

So, what to do? I did have 196 miles of running/walking for July, so perhaps it wasn’t an accident that I did 4 today.

weights: rotator cuff, 5 sets of 10 pull ups, bench: 10 x 135, 4 x 185, 7 x 170, incline: 10 x 135, decline: 7 x 170, military: 10 x 50 standing (ugly), 10 x 45 standing (better..these are dumbbells, one 45 in each hand), 10 x 140 Hammer Machine, rows: 3 x (10 x 110) machine, 2:30 plank, headstand, side plank, shoulderstand/plow.

running: 21:50 run, .5 walk, 1.7 mile outside walk. The run felt GREAT …of course it was easy and short…

Fun: If you “get” this, you might be my kind of person.

Assumptions: everyone tells the truth, there is only “want/do not want” and only the three logicians count as “everyone”. What is subtle: the first two answers convey information: why?

2018 Midterms: I get the feeling that in every competitive district, the Republican will say that Ocasio-Cortez is the Democratic candidate’s “best friend”. You haven’t heard of her? Well, she won a primary against an establishment Democrat and aligned herself with Bernie Sanders, wants to abolish ICE (which didn’t exist prior to 2002…and I think that we had borders prior to then, but whatevers…)

As it sits, things are looking reasonably good for the House Democrats *at the moment* but things change, and the November elections are a political eternity away.

July 30, 2018

## Relaxing hike

Easy peasy, 7 mile walk from the Heights tower to the FPNC trailhead and around. I didn’t exactly kill myself.

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I don’t know whether to sign up for the Quad Cities Marathon or not; they have a 7 hour limit and a 7 am start and I’ve finished some longer walks in heat this time around. I appear to be somewhat faster in the longer walks than last year but.. we shall see. I was hoping to be either much faster or much slower so a decision would be easy.

Observation: almost everyone I see hiking is slender; there are a few, rare exceptions.

## Chiefs/Distillers defeat Timberrattlers 3-2…minor league type game!

Now this was a game where it being minor league mattered. The Timberrattlers started a major league pitcher (Brewers) who went for about 2.5 innings and was throwing “I am glad that I am not trying to hit that” stuff. He struck out 4 and retired the first 7 batters he faced..best “contact” was a fly out. But he had his set number of pitches as was replaced …by a reliever who promptly gave up the tying run (Wisconsin hit a home run in the 3’d). Wisconsin took the lead in the 4’th thanks to a single, wild pitch and throwing error and sacrifice fly.

It took the Chiefs and inning to get it back. (home run). And so it went..though the Chiefs did blow one chance when a runner tried for home off of a shallow hit.

In the 10’th each team started their inning with a runner at second. In the case of the Chiefs: the runner was moved to 3’rd on a bunt and a walk loaded the bases. Wisconsin went to a 5 man shifted infield but a wild pitch allowed the winning run to score.

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Vickie and Harry joined us.

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and here is the weird shift:

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July 28, 2018

## Not quite but

I was hoping to knock today’s walk “out of the park”. I did not. See last week.

I was up and gone right at 7 am or so. 61 F, 87 percent at the start, rising to 77 F, 52 percent and falling to 76, 50 percent humidity (as opposed to 70F 81 percent at the start, 73 F, 81 percent last week).

I did the 18.6 loop followed by a 1.7 loop:

2:45 (2:44 last week) to Northmore/Sheridan (15:18 average), 3:27:08 (3:25:34) at Glenn and Central (5 to go) (14:53) 14:35 to Forest Hill (1 mile), 57:59 (58:33) for the final 4 miles home,(4:40:01 (4:38:44) for 18.6) then 25:34 (26:03) for the final 1.7: 5:05:35 (5:04:47) for 20.33. Hmmm, 48 seconds difference between weeks. This one was a bit tougher and took slightly more out of me; I think it was because I ate very lightly last night and ran out of fuel. But still, I finished slightly faster this time, albeit with a slightly slower overall time?

Today’s walk had lots of little frustrations: convoy of park district vehicles on the bike path, lots of “tour de Krispy Kreme” bike riders out and about, etc.

I was hoping for a big break-through but instead, held my ground.

## Another sign of age..

Workout went ok: weights then a 3 mile walk; some with Mat.

rotator cuff before, 2:30 plank, headstand, moving bridge, shoulder stand and plow after.
5 sets of 10 pull ups (ok), bench: 10 x 135, 1 x 185, 1 x 195, 1 x 200, 4 x 185, incline: 10 x 140, decline: 6 x 165 (tired)
military: 10 x 50 dumbbell standing, 10 x 45 dumbbell standing, 10 x 140 Hammer machine shoulder, rows: 3 x 10 of 110 machine.

Note: I got a spotter for the 1 x 200; a young guy (30’s?) And this reminds me: many people who are within shouting distance of my age..would not be able to spot me. Of course, some can, and a small percentage could outlift me, some by a great deal. So, at least during the summer, my ability to try for a max is limited by who is there in the gym.

## Not losing one’s temper

I walked to the gym to do a few treadmill miles..only to find the upper level in disarray. Evidently they thought it was good time to move all of the equipment, including the treadmills. Figures…couldn’t do it when the gym was closed, I guess (eyeroll).

So I shuffled 5.1 outside on my hilly course and cut the grass; got some heat conditioning out of it. I should be good to go for a 20+ this Saturday.

Body weight: 194.6 before running. Still too heavy but I am making progress. I want to be in the 180’s again.

Last night: yoga then a ball game with my teacher.

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This was a crazy game. We missed the first 3 innings but caught the Timberrattlers in the 4’th; they got a 3 run home run just inside the foul pole to take a 3-1 lead. But Peoria responded with a barrage to regain the lead 5-3 and went on to win 7-5; the Chiefs…er…Distillers got 15 hits!

July 26, 2018

## Headwinds for Democrats in 2020

Yes, the 2018 midterms come first. What will happen?

But there are some serious obstacles to overcome in 2020:

1. Trump is at 90 percent among Republicans…and Republicans vote. Democrats often don’t vote.

2. Republicans are better at focusing on what is important to them. Money Republicans get their tax cuts, deregulation and SCOTUS picks. Deplorables get someone who punches people they do not like.

On the other hand…Democrats are awful. Disqualifying sins: maybe thinking that “hey, single payer is great, but we have no shot at it now”..or for saying that “person X failed because of their actions and not because society discriminated against them”..or because they have too few “blind left handed transgender pagan lesbians of color” on their staff…or maybe 20 years ago brushed someone’s butt during a hug, etc.

3. Incumbents have an advantage. The lost in 1932, 1976, 1980 and 1992. They won in 1936, 1940, 1944, 1948, 1956, 1964, 1972, 1984, 1996, 2004, 2012. That is 11-4.

4. The EC puts Democrats at a disadvantage. Since 1992, D’s have won the popular vote in 1992, 1996, 2000, 2008, 2012, 2016 (6 of the last 7) but won the EC only 4 times. Rural states have disproportionate power.

## Making myself rest more

Yeah, I only walked 3 miles after a brief weight workout: 40:45 in lane 2 (14:15 warm up mile, 26:30 for the next 2 via “2-1, 2-1, 2-1, 3-1-3”. Weights: pull ups: (5-5-5-5, 5-5-5, 5-5-5), bench: 3 sets of 10 x 70 dumbbells, military: 2 sets of 10 x 50, 10 x 45 standing, rows: 3 sets of 10: 50, 50, 70, machine 10 x 160 Hammer incline, plank, headstand.

More miles tomorrow.

Now to do a few errands.

## Random gripes, quips and inconsequential observations

1. I ran fairly hard on the treadmill. How hard? When I walked a cool-down mile on the indoor track, I could see a trail of sweat drops from my previous laps.

2. I hate it when I see something I want a photo of…but when I get out my phone, I find that I had it turned off. By the time it switches on (searches for signals, etc.), the potential object has left. Over the past few days, I missed a genuine albino squirrel and a chance to troll my yoga teacher with a butt shot.

3. Sometimes I’ll see a selfie posted on social media and think..OMG, they look terrible..not like I remembered them. Then I realize that they are either an age peer..or someone younger than I am.

4. When discussing my change of workout cycles, I found myself saying “I am not 45 years old anymore”. Then I realized that 45 is actually old, in terms of sports.

5. I am typing this because I am avoiding work on a paper..this is the dreadful “proofing” phase.

6. It is humbling to realize that I’ll never be as good as my graduate school advisor. Then again, he got that position because, well, he is out-of-this-world good. Put another way, if you are reading this, you are probably not “major league talent” (with $p = 10^{-3}$ or so).

7. A meme asked if I’d like to “know what I now know” back when I was 10. If that meant, say, being able to foresee which stocks grew and which ones flopped, sure. But if it meant “wisdom” then…HELL NO! I’d rather that my dreams of being truly special not get crushed that early and glad that I really didn’t understand the concept of an “outlier.”

8. Success, the vast majority of the time, requires both intense hard work AND extreme luck. The luck part comes with avoiding terrible things (e. g. horrible diseases or accidents) and being in the right place at the right time. Example: consider Larry Bird. Obviously he is an excellent athlete that worked his butt off. But if he were born, say, 100 years earlier, he would have been, at best, moderately successful at something that most of us would have never heard of. He was fortunate to be born at a time when athletic ability could mean fame and fortune.

Or take Steven Hawking. 200-300 years earlier, he would have died an early death and not been remembered. Even healthy geniuses of today may well have been people of less than average value in the world of 5000-10,000 years ago. They were fortunate enough to be born at a time when their abilities could be nurtured into something special.

9. I had dreamed of being an athlete. During the summer of 1969 I tried out for baseball teams (Little League) both “major” and “minor” league. No team wanted me. BUT I received an unsolicited invitation to a summer math camp (based on teacher recommendations). Think that there was a message there?

10. I think that social media has made tribalism worse. We tend to pick a side and defend people within that side, regardless of whether they are worthy of defending or not. On the other hand, we are expected to swallow criticism of the villains from the other side, whether justified or not. This pressures those who “love the truth.”

11. Books: I like the scholarly ones that attempt to seek “what is true”. Those that are really advocating some previously held point of view irritate me. IMHO, true scholarship seeks out truth, where ever it is. Advocacy seeks to persuade, in much the same way a good lawyer seeks to persuade a jury. A scholar really has to play both..er…many sides and attempt to blow up the current hypothesis. Yes, a scholar does have to have some base assumptions, but those should be clearly understood from the start (e. g. naturalism, laws of gravity, laws of logic, “Axiom of Choice”, etc.)

12. My high tech workout shirts really do reek after I’ve sweated in them a bit.

13. In baseball, an “out is an out”, be it a strike out or a fly that is caught on the warning track (assuming there is no one on base to advance). But I always felt worse after a strike out.

14. When I am watching a baseball game and the pitcher is on, I often find myself being glad that I was not in the batter’s box!

15. My strongest memories of football: wiffing on blocks and on tackles. Gads, I sucked.

16. Whoever said “you can be anything you want to be provided you try hard enough” should be tarred and feathered.

17. Everyone should be treated fairly, including those I do not like.

Ah, time to end this silliness.

July 24, 2018