Not writing Trump’s obituary but….

Screen shot 2016-08-05 at 7.24.32 PM

As of right now, 250 EVs for “likely Democrat or better”, 158 EVs for “likely Republican or better” according to Electoral Vote. Trump’s path is very narrow.

Bettors know that; hence Clinton is now a 3 to 1 favorite:

Screen shot 2016-08-05 at 7.21.12 PM

The standard models have Clinton a 77-85 percent favorite, though one still rates the race as a toss up.

But 3 months remain…an eternity in politics. Stranger things have happened.


August 6, 2016 - Posted by | politics, politics/social | , ,

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