New Hampshire: Trump: big favorite. Sanders: HUGE favorite.


These are the odds. \frac{1}{41} odds for Sanders in New Hampshire!

From Sam Wang:

On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders is at a median of 55%, and Hillary Clinton is at 43%. For both of them, the one-sigma uncertainty is 2 percentage points. An upset victory by Clinton looks highly unlikely…but if she held Sanders to a single-digit margin of victory, that would be considered a strong showing in a state that is almost as white as Sanders’s neighboring state of Vermont.

Note: a local Sanders supporters group is having a debate watch party at a sports bar that is near a commitment that I have just prior. So I’ll probably go to that. I’ll be nice and keep my mouth shut and mostly just listen.

What I really want to do is to find a Republican watch group for a Republican debate so I can see how they view things.


February 9, 2016 - Posted by | politics, politics/social | , , ,

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