Politics: data on the state of the race

We are hearing all sorts of stuff about the state of the race. Yes, it is very early.

Yes, Donald Trump leads the Republican polls. And Hillary Clinton leads the Democratic polls. Hillary Clinton also leads the national “head to head” polls. Hillary Clinton has the best odds in the betting markets, by far. The Democrats, as a party, are a modest favorite in the general.

President Obama is just below “break even” in approval ratings and is tracking almost exactly with the historical trend lines, and well above where President Bush was at this time in his administration.

THOSE are the facts.

Via Real Clear Politics:

Democratic Primary


Republican Primary


National head to head:


Obama Approval (Gallup)

Obama approval


Obama vs. trend lines for previous two term presidents and George W. Bush


Betting lines

Individual and party


Various Individuals


So, for better or worse, those are the facts at this early stage.


August 11, 2015 - Posted by | 2016, politics, politics/social | , , ,

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