Weight this morning after breakfast: 188; a bit higher than I’d like. Then again, I ate out twice yesterday.
Weights: rotator cuff, hip hikes, achilles.
Pull ups: 2 sets of 15, 2 of 10
bench press: 10 x 135, 4 x 185, 8 x 170 (too much bounce on last reps?)
incline press: 2 sets of 7 x 150 (improvement)
military: 3 sets of 12 x 50 seated.
rows: 3 sets of 10 x 65
pull downs: 3 sets of 10 x 160
curls: one set of 10 x 25, 5 x 30 dumbbell, two sets of 10 x 57.5 pulley
abs: 3 sets of 10 of: sit backs, v. crunches, crunches, twists.
This doesn’t look like much, does it?
Note: my left glute/piriformis area has been sore…and the difference is the squats. I have to keep doing them but I have to make baby progress and do a lot of counter stretching.
Strengthening my legs while not frying my piriformis will be a challenge.
We went to the funeral service for my wife’s good friend. So, of course, I thought about my funeral/memorial service.
I thought about how to decorate the tables: stuffed frogs, math papers, pages from this blog; perhaps a 100 mile finisher’s buckle, a basketball and football ticket, an Obama shirt and perhaps a copy of The God Delusion and a differential equations textbook……
But none of that works. No one would be there.
What would work for me: an ONLINE funeral/memorial service! That would be more me than anything else, I think.
Weights only; hip hikes, achilles, back exercises, rotator cuff
pull ups: 5 sets of 10
incline presses: 10 x 135, 3 x 160, 7 x 150 (better), 8 x 145
dumbbell rows: 3 sets of 10 x 65
dumbbell military: 3 sets of 12 x 50 (seated, supported)
abs: 3 sets of 10 each: sit back, twist, crunch, v. crunch.
curls: 3 sets of 10 x 65
pull downs: 3 sets of 10 x 160.
Running Back in 2000, I wrote to Bill Rodgers in their “Ask the Coach” feature. I wondered why my 5K was slowing even though I was doing the same type of training …and my half marathon and marathon were doing ok. The answer: “age”; speed decreases but one’s strength and efficiency were buoyed by doing all of those miles.
I understood that part. But Rodgers said something else: he told me that as I aged, I’d have to pick what was more important to me and focus on that.
I now see what he was getting at. Yesterday, I did a “speed” workout (sans the speed, but I was trying 🙂 ) and today I am sore. I am not sore in the same way one is sore after a long run; this is a bit different. My legs are just glowing with heat….but I am not as stiff as I am after a long run.
But it will be days before I can run hard again; I’ve decided that my next “hard” run will be a McHalfMarathon this Sunday.
Why this matters: if I included regular speed work, I could NOT be doing enough miles to race a marathon.
Yes, I know: some can included speed work in a marathon training program; the elites and competitive runners have to and so do many younger runners, and there may be a few “over 50” runners who do too. But I am not one who can; not yet anyway.
This fall, I’ll focus on the 5K-10K, though I’ll do an occasional half marathon as part of “sort-of” long running, along with regular 10-12 milers for endurance.
More rain fell over Illinois over the Memorial Day weekend. The heaviest amounts were in the central part of the state and ranged from 2 to 6 inches (yellow to dark red in the map below).
Right now the statewide average rainfall for May stands at 5.03 inches, based on preliminary data. More rain is forecasted for today and much of this week. So this total is likely to increase as we go through the week. By contrast, Illinois received only 2.5 inches in May 2012.
This is already the wettest January-May on record with 17.9 inches. It is already the wettest climatological spring (March-May) on record with 14.9 inches. Statewide records of precipitation go back to 1895.
This is pretty clear cut.
Outliers can also pull an average down, leading social scientists to overstate the risks of particular events.
Most children of divorced parents turn out to be as well adjusted as children of married parents, but the much smaller number who lead very troubled lives can lower the average outcome for the whole group, producing exaggerated estimates of the impact of divorce. […]
On average, people’s reactions to stressful events like divorce or bereavement indicate a sharp and long-lasting decline in personal well-being, followed by a slow and gradual recovery. And on average, married individuals report themselves happier than single or divorced ones. But in this new paper, “The Trouble With Averages,” the psychologist Anthony Mancini shows that treating the average response as if it was the normal or typical outcome can lead to bad social policy and inappropriate therapeutic responses.
In the case of loss, the average is skewed by a relatively small percentage of people who exhibit substantial, persistent distress. Most people actually experience “a modest, short-lived increase in distress that subsides within a few months.” When Mr. Mancini and his colleagues studied people’s reaction to the loss of a spouse, they found that only 20 percent of the bereaved went through the “conventional” pattern of grieving — a sharp dip in well-being followed by a gradual return to previous levels of satisfaction. Almost 60 percent did not experience persistent sadness.
When we assume that “normal” people need “time to heal,” or discourage individuals from making any decisions until a year or more after a loss, as some grief counselors do, we may be giving inappropriate advice. Such advice can cause people who feel ready to move on to wonder if they are hardhearted.
Here are some other examples:
Consider the salary of math majors who graduated from a certain year. If you use the median, that might be ok. But if you use and average and, say, have 9 graduates who are offered contracts from 40,000 to 70,000 dollars a year and one who happens to be a basketball star and lands an NBA contract, well, that average might be a bit skewed. Yes, that happened when David Robinson got his NBA contract (and yes, he was a math major).
On another source of confusion: too many times, people focus on the rare and unusual instead of the more deadly mundane:
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Risk Perception
From his Facebook page:
An illustration of how the news are largely created, bloated and magnified by journalists. I have been in Lebanon for the past 24h, and there were shells falling on a suburb of Beirut. Yet the news did not pass the local *social filter* and did [not] reach me from social sources…. The shelling is the kind of thing that is only discussed in the media because journalists can use it self-servingly to weave a web-worthy attention-grabbing narrative.
It is only through people away from the place discovering it through Google News or something even more stupid, the NYT, that I got the information; these people seemed impelled to inquire about my safety.
What kills people in Lebanon: cigarettes, sugar, coca cola and other chemical monstrosities, iatrogenics, hypochondria, overtreament (Lipitor etc.), refined wheat pita bread, fast cars, lack of exercise, angry husbands (or wives), etc., things that are not interesting enough to make it to Google News.
You see this professionally. For example, every time there is a college shooting, university administrative bodies on other campuses call meetings to…well, make sure we are safe. In fact, students are far more likely to die in a traffic accident (say, driving while texting) than they are to be killed by some gunman.
But it is the spectacular that draws our attention; not the more likely (and mundane).
Of course, some of the policy is the CYA type tailored to avoid future lawsuits and to be able to tell parents how safe their kids will be in their care.
Not understanding what you read
The right wingers are going on about Attorney General Holder “lying”. About what….this time? Well:
The Republican-controlled House Judiciary Committee is looking into whether Attorney General Eric Holder lied under oath earlier this month when he said he wasn’t involved in the “potential prosecution of the press,” two Republican committee sources confirmed Tuesday.
Though he testified in a May 15 Congressional hearing that he’s “never heard of” the press being potentially charged for obtaining leaked material, it has since been reported that he signed off on the Justice Department’s decision to seek a search warrant in 2010 for Fox News reporter James Rosen’s private e-mails as part of a leak probe.
An FBI affidavit used to obtain the warrant for Rosen’s e-mails said there was probable cause the reporter had broken the law when he allegedly received a leaked classified report from a State Department contractor. The affidavit described Rosen as potentially being an “aider and abettor and/or co-conspirator” to the crime of disclosing government secrets, opening up criticism that the Obama administration was targeting Rosen.
However, the Justice Department did not prosecute Rosen, nor did it file charges against him. While he was listed as a “co-conspirator,” that often times does not mean he would be considered a target.
Bottom line: Attorney General Holder was going after the person who leaked the classified information and not the reporter. So, he didn’t lie. However if you go to the Facebook CNN page and read the responses, well…you’ll get a good look at the Dunning-Kruger effect in action.
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